The Longtermism Fellowship Syllabus
What this fellowship involves
The following is a syllabus on longtermism, the idea that we ought to be particularly concerned with ensuring that the far future goes well. The syllabus is divided into seven weeks, with six core weeks dedicated to introducing fellows to longtermist philosophy, followed by one additional week for self-directed study and presentations in order to allow fellows to cement the core content and forge new paths for inquiry.
Each core week is further divided into three sections, a Key Questions section (unsurprisingly) introducing key questions to ponder while reading, a Core Materials section listing and linking to the required reading for the week, and a Supplemental Materials section with additional reading to aid in understanding the core reading. The core reading should take about 1 hour per week. Approximate reading times are given for each of the core materials. Generally, we prefer that you to take your time and think through the readings instead of rushing through them.
In addition to the core weeks, you will have one week to take a closer look at a topic of interest relevant to longtermism. During the final week of the fellowship, we will hold a mini-conference where you and all other advanced fellows will give a short (7 – 10 minute) presentation based on your topic of interest.
How we hope you will approach the fellowship
Take ideas seriously. Often, conversations about ideas are like recreational diversions: we enjoy batting around interesting thoughts and saying smart things, and then we go back to doing whatever we were already doing in our lives. This is a fine thing to do — but at least sometimes, we think we should be asking ourselves questions like:
“How could I tell if this idea was true?”
“If it is true, what does that imply I should be doing differently in my life? What else does it imply I’m wrong about?”
And, zooming out:
“Where are my blind spots?”
“Which important questions should I be thinking about that I’m not?”
Taking ideas seriously means wanting to make our worldviews as full and accurate as possible, since we see that having accurate beliefs allows us to make better decisions about things that we care about.
Disagreements are interesting. When thoughtful people with access to the same information reach very different conclusions from each other, we should be curious about why. Often, we tend to be incurious about this simply because it’s so common that we’re used to it. But if, for example, a medical community is divided on whether Treatment A or B does a better job of curing some disease, they should want to get to the bottom of that disagreement, because the right answer matters — lives may be at stake.
Strong opinions, weakly held. Often people abstain from trying to have opinions about things because they think things like “I’m not an expert” or “It’s hard to know for sure.” Instead, during this fellowship, we invite you to be bold enough to venture guesses, expressed clearly enough such that it’s easy for someone else, or evidence about the world, to prove you wrong. In the long run, we hope that you'll become stronger and more engaged thinkers; this seems more important than minimizing your error in the short run.
Core Weeks
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Key Questions
What is the philosophy of longtermism, and why should we care?
Core Materials
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Key Questions
Should we accept Greaves and MacAskill’s expected-value argument for giving absolute priority to global catastrophic risk mitigation?
To what extent should our uncertainty lead us to discount a cost-effectiveness estimate?
Core Materials
Supplemental Materials
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Key Questions
What is the non-identity problem?
Can an action be harmful without being harmful to anyone?
Can an action be beneficial without being beneficial for anyone?
Core Materials
Supplemental Materials
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Key Questions
How can we weigh lives across time?
Core Materials
Supplemental Materials
“Reasons and Persons” by Derek Parfit - Chapters 17-19
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Key Questions
Which categories of risks stand in the way of humanity fulfilling its long-term potential?
Which specific risks stand in the way of humanity fulfilling its long-term potential, and how do they compare?
Core Materials
The Vulnerable World Hypothesis - 40 min
The Precipice chapter 6 - 20 min
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Key Questions
If we are to believe some variant of longtermism, what actions should we take?
Core Materials
The Most Important Century blog series summary - 30 min
The Precipice chapter 7- 30 min
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See our resources below!
Self-Directed Study
You can use the following sites to help you pick a topic for the self-directed study portion of the fellowship.
80,000 Hours Problem Profiles
80,000 Hours is an organization which provides research and support to help students and graduates switch into careers that effectively tackle the world’s most pressing problems. The organization maintains a list of the world’s most pressing problems, as well as detailed “problem profiles” introducing and evaluating these problems. You can view a list of these “problem profiles” here.
Many of the problems discussed involve risks which could threaten the long-term future of humanity and are thus of interest to longtermists. You may select a problem profile related to the long-term future for the topic of your self-directed study.
Effective Thesis Topics
Effective Thesis is an organization which aims to assist students in their thesis topic choice and direct their attention to areas that have the potential to greatly improve the world. The organization maintains a list of recommended thesis topics, with links to existing research and further resources. You can view a list of thesis topics, sorted by discipline here, and another, sorted by theme, here.
Effective Thesis assortment of recommended thesis topics is very diverse, including topics in the disciplines of
Agricultural Science
Basic Medicine
Biological Science
Business
Chemical Science
Computer and Information Science
Earth and Environmental Science
Economics
Engineering
Health Science
History
Law
Mathematics
Media and Communications
Philosophy and Ethics
Physical Science
Political Science
Psychology and Cognitive Science
Sociology
Many of the recommended topics are longtermist or otherwise related to the long-term future of humanity. You may select one of Effective Thesis’ recommendations related to the long-term future for the topic of your self-directed study.
Global Priorities Institute Research Agenda
The Global Priorities Institute is a research organization which aims to develop and promote rigorous, scientific approaches to the question of how appropriately motivated actors can do good more effectively, with a particular focus on areas that are not already well addressed by existing academic research. The organization maintains a research agenda to this end, which you can see here. The agenda includes both questions of interest and references to existing academic and informal literature on a variety of topics.
Nearly all the topics on the Global Priorities Institute’s research agenda have a longtermist bent and tend to be topics in either philosophy or economics. You may select a topic from the Global Priorities Institute research agenda for your self-directed study.